Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 0.020795 0.022349 0.023963 0.025767 0.027729 0.029799 0.032151
2026-01-18 0.018217 0.020454 0.022897 0.025770 0.029064 0.032731 0.037136
2026-01-25 0.016598 0.019248 0.022252 0.025921 0.030300 0.035381 0.041756
2026-02-01 0.015180 0.018061 0.021424 0.025659 0.030882 0.037151 0.045303
2026-02-08 0.013967 0.016978 0.020581 0.025240 0.031148 0.038447 0.048240
2026-02-15 0.013065 0.016187 0.020006 0.025059 0.031631 0.039968 0.051475
2026-02-22 0.012253 0.015441 0.019417 0.024790 0.031938 0.041225 0.054383
2026-03-01 0.011579 0.014819 0.018935 0.024605 0.032307 0.042542 0.057401
2026-03-08 0.010982 0.014258 0.018488 0.024421 0.032641 0.043795 0.060364
2026-03-15 0.010537 0.013868 0.018238 0.024474 0.033278 0.045469 0.063992
2026-03-22 0.010074 0.013426 0.017888 0.024358 0.033654 0.046774 0.067133
2026-03-29 0.009671 0.013043 0.017596 0.024297 0.034091 0.048166 0.070461
2026-04-05 0.009312 0.012719 0.017387 0.024371 0.034763 0.049997 0.074668
2026-04-12 0.008958 0.012386 0.017151 0.024394 0.035364 0.051760 0.078900
2026-04-19 0.008669 0.012129 0.017008 0.024539 0.036146 0.053827 0.083740
2026-04-26 0.008288 0.011721 0.016622 0.024294 0.036305 0.054925 0.087056
2026-05-03 0.007893 0.011274 0.016157 0.023900 0.036204 0.055588 0.089673
2026-05-10 0.007588 0.010944 0.015850 0.023730 0.036439 0.056793 0.093268
2026-05-17 0.007281 0.010599 0.015503 0.023477 0.036519 0.057736 0.096457
2026-05-24 0.007014 0.010303 0.015216 0.023303 0.036713 0.058869 0.100038
2026-05-31 0.006763 0.010022 0.014940 0.023131 0.036895 0.059980 0.103642
2026-06-07 0.006581 0.009838 0.014807 0.023180 0.037447 0.061750 0.108561
2026-06-14 0.006372 0.009605 0.014585 0.023071 0.037718 0.063035 0.112647